Baseline
Challenges

Optimism is not ignoring problems. It is knowing that progress is possible.

The world faces serious challenges. Here we show where they stand – and the evidence that they can be overcome.

Climate change

Where we stand

Global CO₂ emissions reached almost 39 billion tonnes in 2024 – still rising, and more than six times the level of 1950.

Why there is hope

Clean power is scaling fast: solar and wind produced 17 % of the world’s electricity in 2025, up from 0.2 % in 2000. Installed solar capacity grew about 60-fold since 2010, to roughly 2,400 gigawatts, as module prices fell by 95 %.

Share of global electricity from solar and wind
0 %10 %20 %0.2 %17 %200020052010201520202025
Sources: Global Carbon Budget; Ember; IRENA, via Our World in Data

Armed conflict

Where we stand

In 2025, researchers recorded 65 armed conflicts involving states – the most since 1946 – and the highest death toll from organised violence since 1994.

Why there is hope

Despite the recent rise, the death rate in wars remains less than a tenth of its 1950 peak – 1.9 per 100,000 people in 2025, compared with 22.

Deaths in conflicts involving states per 100,000 people, 1946–2025
01020220.23.61.9194619501972199020052025
Sources: UCDP; PRIO, via Our World in Data

Democracy under pressure

Where we stand

The share of people living in democracies has roughly halved since around 2000, to about a quarter of the world population (2025).

Why there is hope

Democracies have become more representative: women now hold 27 % of seats in national parliaments worldwide, more than twice the share of 1997.

Share of seats in national parliaments held by women, world
0 %20 %40 %12 %27 %1997200020052010201520202025
Sources: V-Dem, Regimes of the World, via Our World in Data; Inter-Parliamentary Union via World Bank

Remaining poverty

Where we stand

About 850 million people still lived on less than $3 a day in 2023, increasingly concentrated in Sub-Saharan Africa and conflict-affected countries.

Why there is hope

Whole regions have shown what is possible: in East Asia and the Pacific, extreme poverty fell from 67 % in 1990 to 2 % in 2023; in South Asia from 50 % to 4 %.

Share of people in extreme poverty, East Asia & Pacific
0 %40 %80 %67 %2 %199020002010201520192023
Source: World Bank, Poverty and Inequality Platform, via Our World in Data